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This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Avengers: Doomsday

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

Dune: Messiah

Toy Story 5

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Scream 7

Wuthering Heights

Michael

The Odyssey

Project Hail Mary

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

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Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday698 mil US$vol.71%Yes71No29

Spider-Man: Brand New Day426,5 mil US$vol.28%Yes28No72

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping83,7 mil US$vol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Dune: Messiah188,2 mil US$vol.<1%Yes0.05No100

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