General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Flavio Bolsonaro

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Ronaldo Caiado

Renan Santos

Fernando Haddad

Romeu Zema

Michelle Bolsonaro

Tarcisio de Frietas

Jair Bolsonaro

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Flavio Bolsonaro$152.6KVol.99%Yes99.5No0.55

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$565.3KVol.98%Yes98.4No1.7

Ronaldo Caiado$2KVol.<1%Yes0.3No99.7

Renan Santos$47.5KVol.<1%Yes0.25No99.8

Fernando Haddad$66.2KVol.<1%Yes0.25No99.8

Romeu Zema$2KVol.<1%Yes0.25No99.8

Michelle Bolsonaro$42.4KVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Tarcisio de Frietas$88.6KVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Jair Bolsonaro$18.8KVol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Market details

Timeline & payout